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Prediction for CME (2026-04-02T20:46:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2026-04-02T20:46Z
DONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/45519/-1
CME Note: Second of a two-part CME associated with an M3.5-class solar flare in Active Region 14404 (N12W18) and subsequent filament eruption taking place between 2026-04-02T16:00Z and 21:00Z, the CME is narrow and seen to the northwest in SOHO LASCO C2, more northerly as compared with the earlier 2026-04-02T18:48Z CME but closely following behind it, and not yet seen in STEREO A COR2A due to a data gap. There is a filament eruption clearly seen after 19:30Z best seen in GOES SUVI 304 which is the likely source and suggests the eruption may have been deflected slightly to the north.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-04-05T20:00Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME
Lead Time: 67.50 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2026-04-03T00:30Z
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